ESSL Online Course ‘Forecasting of Severe Convection’

3 to 7 May 2021 / Online

This course covers the basics of forecasting severe convection using an ingredients-based approach. It is ESSL‘s standard severe storms forecasting course, being led by Dr Tomáš Púčik, a trainer and a severe storms researcher at ESSL and a forecaster at ESTOFEX.

During morning lectures each of the ingredients for severe storms will be covered, including:

• The effect of vertical wind shear and its influence on the organisation of convection into single cells, multi-cells, or supercells.
The dynamics of these conceptual models related to the potential for severe weather.
• Synoptic and mesoscale patterns that can support or suppress the risk of severe convection.
• The occurrence of severe weather hazards such as hail, extreme rainfall, tornadoes and severe wind gusts,, along with their relation to the large-scale conditions and individual storm types.

In the afternoon, exercises will involve forecasting convection either in near-real-time or for past cases across Europe. After the forecast, a discussion will follow with an emphasis on the subject that was studied during the morning.

Find out more about the course and how to register here.